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The 2026 Grammys is fast approaching, and many music fans are making their final predictions on which albums, songs, and artists will win. This year some of the biggest contenders include Lady Gaga, Kendrick Lamar, Sabrina Carpenter, the Wicked movie, and the KPop Demon Hunters film on Netflix. The Grammy nominations for every category were revealed in November, a few months before the awards ceremony airs on CBS and Paramount+ on Sunday, February 1. Here is a breakdown for the odds on who will take home a Grammy in 2026.
List of 2026 Grammy Awards winner predictions
Below is a list of the predicted winners for the 2026 Grammy Awards for every major category including Record of the Year, Song of the Year, and Album of the Year. By “major category,” we mean the categories that will likely be televised in the main show (as there are a whopping 95 categories in total).
These odds are based on a Gold Derby poll (as of December 12, 2025) that combines votes from editors, experts, and users. For 2026, the Grammys have added two new categories: Best Traditional Album and Best Album Cover.
Record of the Year
- Bad Bunny – DtMF – 3.92%
- Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild – 23.17%
- Doechii – Anxiety – 0.36%
- Billie Eilish – WILDFLOWER – 2.85%
- Lady Gaga – Abracadabra – 42.42%
- Kendrick Lamar With SZA – luther – 22.46%
- Chappell Roan – The Subway – 1.25%
- ROSÉ and Bruno Mars – APT. – 3.57%
Album of the Year
- Bad Bunny – DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS – 27.92%
- Justin Bieber – SWAG – 0.71%
- Sabrina Carpenter – Man’s Best Friend – 23.32%
- Clipse, Pusha T & Malice – Let God Sort Em Out – 0.18%
- Lady Gaga – MAYHEM – 38.52%
- Kendrick Lamar – GNX – 8.30%
- Leon Thomas – MUTT – 0.71%
- Tyler, The Creator – CHROMAKOPIA – 0.35%
Song of the Year
- Lady Gaga – Abracadabra – 28.93%
- Doechii – Anxiety – 0.89%
- ROSÉ and Bruno Mars – APT – 0.36%
- Bad Bunny – DtMF – 5.36%
- HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna, REI AMI – Golden (From KPop Demon Hunters) – 10.54%
- Kendrick Lamar With SZA – Luther – 21.79%
- Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild – 25.00%
- Billie Eilish – WILDFLOWER – 7.14%
Best New Artist
- Olivia Dean – 47.25%
- KATSEYE – 10.35%
- The Marias – 1.00%
- Addison Rae – 9.68%
- sombr – 1.00%
- Leon Thomas – 25.38%
- Alex Warren – 2.00%
- Lola Young – 3.34%
Best Pop Solo Performance
- Justin Bieber – DAISIES – 2.00%
- Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild – 69.26%
- Lady Gaga – Disease – 14.97%
- Chappell Roan – The Subway – 11.18%
- Lola Young – Messy – 2.59%
Best Pop Duo/Group Performance
- Cynthia Erivo & Ariana Grande – Defying Gravity – 26.73%
- HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna, REI AMI – Golden (From KPop Demon Hunters) – 9.81%
- KATSEYE – Gabriela – 10.00%
- ROSÉ and Bruno Mars – APT – 50.96%
- SZA Featuring Kendrick Lamar – 30 For 30 – 2.50%
Best Pop Vocal Album
- Justin Bieber – SWAG – 1.40%
- Sabrina Carpenter – Man’s Best Friend – 31.26%
- Miley Cyrus – Something Beautiful – 1.00%
- Lady Gaga – MAYHEM – 65.93%
- Teddy Swims – I’ve Tried Everything But Therapy Part 2 – 0.40%
Best Rock Album
- Deftones – private music – 65.59%
- HAIM – I quit – 16.94%
- Linkin Park – From Zero – 11.83%
- Turnstile – NEVER ENOUGH – 2.69%
- YUNGBLUD – Idols – 2.96%
Best Alternative Music Album
- Bon Iver – SABLE, fABLE – 4.20%
- The Cure – Songs Of A Lost World – 4.76%
- Tyler, The Creator – DON’T TAP THE GLASS – 13.73%
- Wet Leg – moisturizer – 2.80%
- Hayley Williams – Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party – 74.51%
Best Progressive R&R Album
- Durand Bernarr – BLOOM – 10.16%
- Bilal – Adjust Brightness – 3.28%
- Destin Conrad – LOVE ON DIGITAL – 2.95%
- FLO – Access All Areas – 79.02%
- Terrace Martin & Kenyon Dixon – Come As You Are – 4.59%
Best R&B Album
- GIVĒON – BELOVED – 2.71%
- Coco Jones – Why Not More? – 6.33%
- Ledisi – The Crown – 0%
- Teyana Taylor – Escape Room – 7.53%
- Leon Thomas – MUTT – 83.43%
Best Rap Album
- Clipse, Pusha T & Malice – Let God Sort Em Out – 5.61%
- GloRilla – GLORIOUS – 2.80%
- JID – God Does Like Ugly – 0.62%
- Kendrick Lamar – GNX – 87.23%
- Tyler, The Creator – CHROMAKOPIA – 3.74%
Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album
- Laila Biali – Wintersongs – 0.41%
- Jennifer Hudson – The Gift of Love – 1.02%
- Elton John & Brandi Carlile – Who Believes in Angels – 59.88%
- Lady Gaga – Harlequin – 22.20%
- Laufey – A Matter of Time – 14.46%
- Barbra Streisand – The Secret of Life: Partners, Volume 2 – 2.04%
Best Musical Theater Album
- Buena Vista Social Club – 2.92%
- Death Becomes Her – 15.69%
- Gypsy – 2.19%
- Just In Time – 2.55%
- Maybe Happy Ending – 76.64%
Best Contemporary Country Album
- Kelsea Ballerini – Patterns – 73.54%
- Tyler Childers – Snipe Hunter – 15.12%
- Eric Church – Evangeline Vs. The Machine – 1.03%
- Jelly Roll – Beautifully Broken – 5.84%
- Miranda Lambert – Postcards From Texas – 4.47%
Best Latin Pop Album
- Rauw Alejandro – Cosa Nuestra – 2.75%
- Andrés Cepeda – BOGOTÁ DELUXE – 1.03%
- KAROL G – Tropicoqueta – 87.29%
- Natalia Lafourcade – Cancionera – 7.56%
- Alejandro Sanz – Y ahora qué – 1.37%
Best Comedy Album
- Bill Burr – Drop Dead Years – 1.82%
- Sarah Silverman – PostMortem – 2.91%
- Ali Wong – Single Lady – 85.09%
- Jamie Foxx – What Had Happened Was… – 8.73%
- Nate Bargatze – Your Friend, Nate Bargatze – 1.45%
Best Music Video
- Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild – 76.92%
- Clipse – So Be It – 1.92%
- Doechii – Anxiety – 14.90%
- OK Go – Love – 0.96%
- Sade – Young Lion – 5.29%
Best Music Film
- Devo – Devo – 2.01%
- Raye – Live At The Royal Albert Hall – 25.50%
- Diane Warren – Relentless – 3.69%
- John Williams – Music By John Williams – 68.12%
- Pharrell Williams – Piece By Piece – 0.67%
Best Compilation Soundtrack For Visual Media
- A Complete Unknown – 0.97%
- F1 The Album – 1.29%
- KPop Demon Hunters – 18.71%
- Sinners – 6.77%
- Wicked – 72.26%
Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media (Includes Film And Television)
- John Powell – How To Train Your Dragon – 2.33%
- Theodore Shapiro – Severance: Season 2 – 0.33%
- Ludwig Göransson – Sinners – 78%
- John Powell & Stephen Schwartz – Wicked – 17.67%
- Kris Bowers – The Wild Robot – 1.67%
Best Song Written for Visual Media
- Nine Inch Nails – As Alive As You Need Me To Be (From TRON: Ares) – 1.00%
- HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna, REI AMI – Golden (From KPop Demon Hunters) – 85.05%
- Miles Caton – I Lied to You (From Sinners) – 7.97%
- Elton John and Brandi Carlile – Never Too Late (From Elton John: Never Too Late) – 4.65%
- Jayme Lawson – Pale, Pale Moon (From Sinners) – 1.00%
- Rod Wave – Sinners (From Sinners) – 0.33%
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